I thought it'd be interesting to revisit my predictions/assessment of the draft way back in early March. As you could see were you to scroll down a bit, I wrote:
"My thoughts on the draft:
Alan, me, the Bens, Nate, seabass, and maybe Tobo came out of the draft in the best shape.
Phelan probably had the worst draft - which is understandable since he wasn't there."
The top 7 in the league right now are: ben mercer, ben's brother, seabass, me, ben ewing, sargon, and nate. 5 out of 7 ain't bad. Definitely didn't see ben's brother or sargon being the forces they are right now. But, honestly, it's anyone's game. We have 7 teams realistically vying for the top 3 spots. Really, 6 teams vying for the top spot. I was dead on with Phelan's team though. Worst.Team.In.The.League.
How I see it finishing up:
Mercer's team is in decline and, unless he makes some startling roster moves, he'll finish in 2nd or 3rd. His team has been all power hitting so far, but with the loss of some key bat production, his team doesn't have the versatility to adapt, with other category production.
Ben's brother's team is extremely strong right now. I think he'll end up at #1, riding a strong relief rotation, Roger Clemens, and a fantastic outfield to high marks in saves and power categories.
Seabass's team is all pitching and he's projected to exceed the maximum innings limit. I see him staying in the top 4 or so until the last month when he'll drop out. He doesn't have the lineup to seriously compete at the top.
My team is all percentages - I lead the league in batting average, ERA, and WHIP. I'm the wild card really. I have the inning limit room to stack my team with pitchers to increase my win, save, and K totals at the end when others reach that limit. It all depends on how my pitching staff finishes. I'm glad to be finally rid of Bartolo Colon for good and I've made a few decent pickups for spot starters. I don't think I'll make many gains in offensive categories, but no losses either. My season depends on the wins and K's, basically. I'm fairly confident I'll be top 3 - 4th at absolute lowest if things don't pan out.
Ben Ewing has stacked his team with pitching but he's just about even on the innings limit so I don't see him really being able to take advantage of it. His strength is in the absolute offensive categories (runs, RBIs, etc. though curiously not HRs). If his lineup can maintain that production, he has the staff to make some gains in the pitching categories. But, his main deficiencies in pitching categories are the percentage based categories (ERA, WHIP), which are hard to improve this late in the season. His team has a chance of being in the top 3, but I think he'll be 4 or 5.
Sargon's team is extremely balanced, without a clear strength. That will play against him at the end I think. I don't see him having the personnel to make a definitive statement as a fantasy team. He'll keep middling in the 7-10 mark in most categories, finishing 5th or 6th.
Nate's team has a lot of underperforming pitchers and position players. He's the furthest out, and his strengths are all across the board, with no rhyme or reason to them. I don't see him seriuosly challenging for a top position. He may rise up one or two spots depending on whether his underperformers snap out of their respective funks. But, I'm gonna pencil him in at 7th for now.
So my final prediction?
1.Nomo Barajas
2.Dbow(on Fresh Rye)
3.BashinGuyzBoffinChix
4.The Go! Team
5.The Metro Gnomes
6.seabassball
7.Long Term Hustle
"My thoughts on the draft:
Alan, me, the Bens, Nate, seabass, and maybe Tobo came out of the draft in the best shape.
Phelan probably had the worst draft - which is understandable since he wasn't there."
The top 7 in the league right now are: ben mercer, ben's brother, seabass, me, ben ewing, sargon, and nate. 5 out of 7 ain't bad. Definitely didn't see ben's brother or sargon being the forces they are right now. But, honestly, it's anyone's game. We have 7 teams realistically vying for the top 3 spots. Really, 6 teams vying for the top spot. I was dead on with Phelan's team though. Worst.Team.In.The.League.
How I see it finishing up:
Mercer's team is in decline and, unless he makes some startling roster moves, he'll finish in 2nd or 3rd. His team has been all power hitting so far, but with the loss of some key bat production, his team doesn't have the versatility to adapt, with other category production.
Ben's brother's team is extremely strong right now. I think he'll end up at #1, riding a strong relief rotation, Roger Clemens, and a fantastic outfield to high marks in saves and power categories.
Seabass's team is all pitching and he's projected to exceed the maximum innings limit. I see him staying in the top 4 or so until the last month when he'll drop out. He doesn't have the lineup to seriously compete at the top.
My team is all percentages - I lead the league in batting average, ERA, and WHIP. I'm the wild card really. I have the inning limit room to stack my team with pitchers to increase my win, save, and K totals at the end when others reach that limit. It all depends on how my pitching staff finishes. I'm glad to be finally rid of Bartolo Colon for good and I've made a few decent pickups for spot starters. I don't think I'll make many gains in offensive categories, but no losses either. My season depends on the wins and K's, basically. I'm fairly confident I'll be top 3 - 4th at absolute lowest if things don't pan out.
Ben Ewing has stacked his team with pitching but he's just about even on the innings limit so I don't see him really being able to take advantage of it. His strength is in the absolute offensive categories (runs, RBIs, etc. though curiously not HRs). If his lineup can maintain that production, he has the staff to make some gains in the pitching categories. But, his main deficiencies in pitching categories are the percentage based categories (ERA, WHIP), which are hard to improve this late in the season. His team has a chance of being in the top 3, but I think he'll be 4 or 5.
Sargon's team is extremely balanced, without a clear strength. That will play against him at the end I think. I don't see him having the personnel to make a definitive statement as a fantasy team. He'll keep middling in the 7-10 mark in most categories, finishing 5th or 6th.
Nate's team has a lot of underperforming pitchers and position players. He's the furthest out, and his strengths are all across the board, with no rhyme or reason to them. I don't see him seriuosly challenging for a top position. He may rise up one or two spots depending on whether his underperformers snap out of their respective funks. But, I'm gonna pencil him in at 7th for now.
So my final prediction?
1.Nomo Barajas
2.Dbow(on Fresh Rye)
3.BashinGuyzBoffinChix
4.The Go! Team
5.The Metro Gnomes
6.seabassball
7.Long Term Hustle
posted by dbow at 6:58 PM
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